Wednesday, May 28, 2008

"Gruesome but effective"

A description of my satellite game, which again stood me in good stead tonight. Qualified for the weekend SE main event in tonight's satellite.

Played, well, gruesomely but effectively, and got cards when I needed them, notably pocket aces on the final table when I was drifting back towards shortstacksville, and I managed to virtually triple up with them.

Very enjoyable tournament. 29 runners, I think, and 3 but really 4 tickets (4th was a grand). When we got down to fourth, Mick Stevens (continuing his phenomenal run of form: 3 wins in 3 nights) decided to spare us all the horror of playing for ages for 100 Euro by going all in blind till it was over.

European Deepstack back in February is actually the last major (300 Euro plus buyin) tournament I bought into. Since then, I've satellited into the Irish Open, the JP Masters, two GUKPT events and now this. God I love satellites.

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Nines again

This time in my hand. Maybe I should just autofold on sight of a nine.

Played the first SE festival event last night, along with the brother. Weird tournament in that neither of us got much to play with and never really felt like we got going, but somehow managed to make the final table. In the end, Sean bubbled, and I cashed minimally in 5th, keeping my recent good string going (5 out of 6), but I'd trade 4 of them for one really big one obviously.

My exit hand was bog standard: I'm down to 10 BB's, everyone else has at least 4 times my stack, I pick up 9's on the button, move all in over a raise only to find he has kings. I actually picked up a shedload of outs when 3 diamonds flop (I had one, he didn't), but a fourth one never arrived.

Field was a standard mix of the good, the bad and the ugly. Mick Stevens was the class act at the final table: he played a set of 4's particularly masterfully.

Sunday night I played the ECOOP event and again cashed minimally, 170th out of 1700 or so for a profit of about $100. Again, pretty card dead mostly, very short near the bubble, got into an okayish position by playing the bubble hyperaggressively, but then was card dead again after the bubble burst, and eventually pushed AJ into Aces. Also played a feeder to Wednesday's PPP online sat to the SE event and scraped in. Good laugh and banter on last 2 tables.

Plan for the rest of week is to play the SE sat tonight, then tomorrow play the online one, Thursday I'll probably play the Fitz EOM although if I haven't satellited into the SE by then I might try the satellite instead, then the weekend will be given over to the SE festival.

Mark Dalimore is flying in from the Czech Republic on Thursday to play. He was 4th in Newcastle GUKPT and we had a great laugh hanging out and got very friendly so I invited him over to sample the Irish poker scene. Mark's one of the best readers of people I've seen: he did a final table commentary for me when it was headsup and accurately predicted fold/call/raise every time purely on physical tells. And if he challenges you to a game of Spoof, run like buggery.

Sunday, May 25, 2008

Nein! Nein!

Or rather, nine, nine! My new witching card.

Played the Fitz tonight for the first time in ages. Only 19 starters, a mixed bag of the good (Declan O'Dea, Ozzy from Fult Tilt/Boards, a couple of visiting Yanks, Jude) and some standard Fitz players.

Ended up headsup with Jude (not for the first time, but I don't think I've won one yet) and had him outchipped two to one. The hand that swung it his way went:

Jude limps from the small blind, I reraised with QQ, Jude calls (don't think I've ever see him fold to a 3 bet here).

Flop QJ2 rainbow.

Jude checks, I bet 4K into a 4.8K pot, Jude calls.

Turns a 9.

Jude checks, I bet 8K, Jude reraises to 20K.

I consider whether he has K10 before rejecting it on two counts. First, he raises a lot of hands headsup preflop so I'm pretty sure K10 would be one. Second, he bets his draws aggressively on the flop so I think he'd lead out on the flop rather than check call.

So I call. River's a blank and Jude pushes all in. I call and he shows me a hand I hadn't even considered: 10 8. I still can't quite believe he called with a gutshot to the idiot end of the straight.

That left me crippled and later I pot committed myself raising K5 suited, flop comes K109, I push, he calls with 109.

Typical Fitz fare, I guess.

Still, 4 cashes in last 5 tournaments: no bad.

Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Newcastle trip report

Up at the crack of dawn after a sleepless night. The previous evening I had a track meeting in Trinity College: not exactly ideal preparation for a poker tournament, but on the positive side, it was at least a confidence boost. Predictably distant 8th in the 800 metres, but won both the mile and the 3000m. Most surreally, the PA announcer insisted on repeating as often as possible that I was a "professional gambler", which made me feel like I should have a fag in one hand, a pint in the other, and a lackey holding the Racing Post open in front of me.
We met Rob Taylor and Ken Corkery on the plane and shared a cab into town. Chatted with Rob about his Vegas experiences. Our hotel wasn't ready to be checked into so the brother and me spent the morning wandering around Newcastle like homeless people. Homeless people shopping for gifts. Again, maybe not ideal preparation.
Got a tough enough opening table that featured Dave Colclough to my immediate left and legendary high stakes online cash game player The Mole two to my right. Ironically they were the first two out (the Mole was 1 outered in a set on set war, and Colclough pushed 9's into K's and A's). After that our table broke and I got moved to a much wilder table with Henning Granstad to my left, and a wild Welsh lag to my right. By now I'd noodled my 10K starting stack up to 13K despite utter utter card death by virtue of the fact that I was playing so few hands that when I did play, my bets and raises got respect.
Then I picked up 67s in the BB. Henning (playing AQs) raised to 2.5BB under the gun. A guy who was down to under 20 big blinds flat called in the cutoff (playing 88), and I called. Then the ultimate cooler flop given what we all have: 458 with two of Henning's suit. I quickly check, Henning bets just over pot, top set guy moves all in, I move all in over the top, and after a long dwell punctuated by a few wow's, Henning decides he's getting too good a price and calls. Although I'm sitting there with a made straight, they have so many outs between them I'm less than 50/50 to take the pot, but they both miss and I almost triple up.
Shortly after I got moved to Liam Flood's table. Liam is playing his usual game, open raising everything that gets passed around to him, folding after a long Hollywood dwell if reraised, and going "Whee!" if the raise gets through. I wasn't there long before I got moved again, this time to Rob Taylor's table, with Rob to my immediate right. I wasn't there long when I managed to lose a chunk of my stack with Anna Kournikova. Late position raiser, I duly reraised with AK in the SB, BB goes all in, I'm getting almost 2 to 1 so it's an automatic call. He's got Q10, hits his Queen on the flop after jumping up on his chair and exhorting it to come. His celebrations were certainly colourful. At the close of play, I'd drifted back from my peak of 40K to 28K, though that in itself was something of a recovery after being down to 22K after the allin.
By now I was so tired that after we'd trudged back to the hotel, I fell asleep as soon as I hit the bed. Got up around 11 and went for my run, after which it was time to head back. There'd been a total redraw but once again I found myself at Rob's table. The other notable was James Akenhead, one of the chip leaders. Very first pot of the day I raised in second position, he reraised, and being at the bottom of my range I had to fold. I was starting to think it wasn't to be my day when I picked up Anna Kournikova again in the SB, cutoff raised, I reraised, he ships, I call, he's got AQ, and for once Anna doesn't let me down.
Other hand of note at that table involved Ian, the bloke who ended up coming second overall. He was down to about 15 BBs when the cutoff raised his SB, I called on the button with 8's, and Ian shipped. After a longish dwell the cutoff calls. He's got almost as many chips as I have so I don't want to go to war with 8's and fold. If he folds, I call. As it is, Ian flips over 6's, cutoff has AK (she gets around!), neither of them hit, and Ian doubles up. I told him I'd folded 8's and he reminded me of it after his final table heroics.
Shortly thereafter I got moved to what was to be my final table. The best player there was Joey Lovelady, a Scouser LAG who was raising almost every pot. For long spells it looked like I was the only one at the table willing to take him on. Unfortunately, a couple of bad beats at the hands of others severely cramped my ability to tango: I had Aces cracked by AQ aipf, QQ by AQ, and AK by AQ, and KK by Ace rag. That pushed me back into the pack.
Just before the dinner break, I almost doubled up with 10's. I raised utg, it's folded around to the BB, who calls with apparent reluctance. Rob, who has been coolered by Akenhead by now, was watching and saw what he was calling with, QJ. Rob told me at dinner that his immediate reaction was "Not a hand you want to be calling a raise from Dara out of position". The flop came 10 high, I could see he'd missed, so when he checked I checked my set quick as I could. Q on the turn and from his reaction I knew he'd hit but didn't like it too much. so when he checked, I made a very small quarter pot bet, which he reluctantly called. Blank on the river, he checks, and I push a stack I know is equivalent to what he has left into the middle and he eventually calls. Rob ran over to tell the brother who was going well in the side event about the hand.
Went to dinner with Rob and met Mick McCloskey who was one of the chip leaders at this point. Rob's a great guy to talk poker with as his obvious love and appreciation for the game is infectious.
After dinner, I managed to administer a couple of bad beats of my own on the bubble. With 20 still in (18 getting paid), a frequent raiser made it 7K (blinds 1k/2k) in early position. I have 10's in the BB. Any raise pot commits us both so I donk push, figuring he'll fold anything below Q's and maybe AK. He dwells a little and then calls with Q's, but I hit a 10.
Shortly afterwards, my neighbour who I've been getting along with mightily despite him being the one to dog my aces with AQ moves all in. I have KQ and a very marginal decision. Most likely I'm up against either a lower pair, in which case I have the odds for the call (his push is only for 4 BBs), or Ax, where I don't quite. After a long think, I pass. This will sound strange but I think the fact that he was such a nice guy ultimately swayed me from calling. If he'd been an asshole, I'd probably have jumped at the chance of knocking him out on the bubble for just 20% of my stack. He told me later he had A9.
However, a few orbits later he moved all in on the button and nice guy or not I instacalled because I had AQ which figures to crush most of his range. Not on this occasion though: he's got AK, but the queen comes on the river to burst the bubble. ThaNutsTV were on hand to film both bad beats and I heard the commentator saying "He runs good, this Dublin lad". Where were they when I was the one on the receiving end of Bad Beat city?
Anyway, that leaves me in good shape with over 100K but I lose a few tangles with Joey. The one which did most of the damage involved my cunning plan to trap him backfiring when my straight was counterfeited on the river and I found myself unable to call an allin for a split when I was suddenly playing the board. He probably was too, so it was a good move by him.
That left me at the last break with just 57K, or less than 8 big blinds. I knew what I had to do and was lucky enough to find something in my pushing range straight away. No callers and now I'm up to 70K, when I find 9's in the SB, and Ganesh Rao pushes for 15 big blinds from the button. Easy call, he has 87s, and hits my 9 for a gutshot on the river. Incidentally, the hand has been misreported in some quarters to make it look like he button raised and then called my allin because he was priced in. Not how it happened. At the time I was reasonably philosophical about it and happy to have at least cashed, but it was harder to take when we came back the next day and saw them setting up the final table. Definitely "It should be me" feeling.
The brother went deep in the main side event but ultimately went out in 11th too. There was a deal done so at least he got his money back. We both played the last side event, making the final table, but ultimately coming up short. We hung around afterwards drinking with Mick McCloskey, Ganesh, Ian, Mark Dalimore and a few of the other final tableists before it was time to head to the airport for the early morning flight home.
Overall a successful trip and I have to say I do love Newcastle: it's my favourite place in England. It seems to have moved a bit upmarket since I was last there a few years ago for my friend Steve's stag, but it retains that unique warm Geordie feeling.

Monday, May 19, 2008

He cracked my 10 6 with aces

Funniest line heard at the Newcastle GUKPT.

As you might know, I ran deep in the main event, cashing (11th for 2350). Exit hand was pretty sick: I'm SB with 9's, it's folded around to the button who was tilting from the last time he was on the button (he raised, BB called, flop came A66, BB check raised him and showed 52 when he folded). He goes allin for 15 big blinds, I don't need very long to call. He's not doing that with a higher pair or even AK: I figure at worst I'm up against one over. Actually, it's even better: 87s. Flop comes 1062 with none of his suit, but now he's got my 9's for a gutshot, and it duly comes on the river. I think if I win that hand I'm in great great shape as my table image is rock solid and people are playing very scared poker. So a case of nearly again.

Might write a fuller report if I get round to it, I played pretty well I think, particularly after the flop, but didn't race so well. But still, not bad to cash and at the very least hopefully I'm shaking the tag of the Jamie Gold of Irish poker that one unkind soul laid on me one night in the Sporting Emporium.

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Weekend report

Friday night: played two satellites I'd qualified for. Ladbrokes Poker Million daily final: bombed out on the cusp of the final table, all in with AJ v QJ. The Q hit on the river. Never really got going in truth but played decent short stack poker to survive as long as I could.

Better luck in the GJP satellite for the GUKPT in Newcastle this week. Got off to a barnstormer and was a massive chip leader from about 40 out until the final table. When you get the big stack early, satellites are easy. Unfortunately, got an awful final table draw, in that the second biggest stack was to my immediate left and apparently clueless. He didn't seem to realise we should be either cooperating to put pressure on the medium stacks, or at least avoiding big confrontations with each other. Infuriatingly, it seemed like he was only coming into pots if I did. Worse, he was inflating the pots and sucking out on me. After a few suckouts, he was up to my size so I had to tighten right up. The fool did likewise, which meant no big stack was putting pressure on the medium ones. All of which meant it was a lot tighter in the end than it should have been, but I got there in the end, so myself and the brother are off to Newcastle at the crack of dawn on Friday. Looking forward to it already.

Saturday, myself and the brother found ourselves in Cool Hand Luke's, having made it in to town to late for either the Emprium or the Fitz. CHL's has a great "authentic poker club" feel to it, and a friendly atmospgere. 20 starters, and to be honest, I didn't exactly play my A game early on. To be even more honest, I was absolutely terrible. I only won one pot before the break (but it was a double up so I went into the break ahead), then immediately after donked away most of my stack with a terrible call with an overpair (barely). I managed to convince myself that there were enough hands that could account for the SB's all in check raise (a possible flush draw, a possible straight draw, top pair top kicker) that my minimum overpair was beating, but a bigger overpair was always his most likely holding. And even if he was flushing, he'd probably have two overcards as well and thus be favourite to draw out on me. So, awful call.

There were a couple of extremely good players at the table: Gavin who I've been locking horns with since day one and usually dogging (he was third in the very first live tournament I played, in the Fitz, when I was second and Smurph was first), and an exceptional LAG who I'd never seen before in seat 10 who was keeping up a steady stream of consciousness commentary that was both funny and brilliant. Both exitted early due to doggings (not by me).

Meanwhile, down to 3 big blinds, I was working on a remarkable recovery involving some doggings of my own. I cracked Aces (with jacks), and a couple of dominating aces to arrive at the final table in reasonable shape. Meanwhile, the brother had been coping with card death at the other table to get to the final table to thanks to some brilliant poker.

Thankfully, I played a lot better at the final table, with one hand in particular against a hyperaggressive LAG where I slowplayed top pair top kicker and managed to get him to donate over half his stack to double me up that I was particularly proud of. Notwithstanding that, it took a few more doggings before I was headsup with the brother. Headsup lasted all of one hand: I made a loose call of his allin with QJ, partly because it was a freeshot as I had him outchipped 4:1, partly because I just wanted it over quick either way at that point and would almost have been happier if he won than if I did. Almost. As it was, he had 8's, but I hit on the turn.

Sunday: took a shot at the Ipoker WSOP satellite. Went pretty deep, but went out in 17th. The hand that did the damage was pushing KJs into pocket rockets.

Meanwhile, the running has been going crap. The speed sessions are all ending with me dry heaving on the in field not having got next or near to the times I should be hitting. Coach reckons the poker lifestyle will take a bit of habituating too, and I'm not fully recovered from Brno, so the recommendation is two weeks of lighter offroad training.

Thursday, May 8, 2008

Ladbrokes Poker Million

After the Masters a couple of guys I was talking to were asking if I was playing this. I said probably not: I'd made a few attempts at qualifying, come very close on one occasion, but probably wouldn't have time to make a serious effort at it again. Then they asked why I didn't buy in, to which the answer is $20K is way too much to risk on one tournament.

Then they offered to partially stake me, 10% each.

First reaction was they must be kidding (they'd just met me!). Once I realised they weren't, my second reaction was there must be much better staking propositions than me. The fact that I've made two final table in deepstack mtt's doesn't mean I wouldn't be the value in this particular format.

The field will be made up of some of the top pros in the world (who it can safely be assumed I would not have an edge over) and a host of online qualifiers, at least some of whom will probably have donked in from starting stack 100 one minute blind turbos, over whom I may have an edge. Then there's the small matter of the added money: $500,000 in total, which might just about tip me towards +EV in the event.

So I'm currently considering it, but leaning towards nay. Even with 20% of my buyin staked, that'd leave me putting $16K of my own roll into one tournament.

Still haven't retyped the Masters opus, but will. Honest.

Wednesday, May 7, 2008

Why am I so unlucky?

The cry of every poker player as they exit a tournament after losing a race or, worse, with the overpair or the dominating hand.

In my admittedly limited experience, there are two classes of poker players:
(1) Players who believe they have average luck: it all balances out
(2) Players who believe they have less than average luck: "I'm so unlucky"

While I accept that given variance at any given time there must be some players "behind" in the overall luck stakes (and the same number approximately who are ahead: this is a zero sum game), I don't think it's quite as many as seem to believe it. I think most "unlucky" players just have a limited field of vision and/or selective memory. They see only the races they lose.

If you are involved in 3 70/30 races which you win, and then you lose an 80/20, yes, you were unlucky in that last one, but overall you were lucky. Just because you're ahead doesn't mean you should win every time. Your overall expectation for those 4 races was 2.9, and you won 3: therefore you were lucky overall. Furthermore, if you were all in all four times, then you were even luckier, because you won them in the correct order. If you'd have lost any of the first 3, you'd have been out of the tournament earlier. And your chances of winning all the first three was less than 35%, you luckbucket.

The other thing is you have to consider that you were probably lucky to be in those races in the first place. Lucky to have AK when an AQ was prepared to go or call an allin, lucky to have Jacks that time yer man had 9's, lucky someone else didn't have Q's etc. etc.

So yeah, I'm still not up to retyping the Masters report I lost in the crash (I'll get to it though) so you'll have to put up with this piece of nonsense instead for now.

Tuesday, May 6, 2008

Bad beat

No, not AKs against AQ, but the fact that I spent two hours this afternoon typing up a full report of my JP Irish Masters only for the computer to crash at the precise instant I was clicking Publish Post.

Anyway, as anyone who follows Irish poker closely will possibly know, I ended up 6th, going out with aforementioned AKs. Still, that's tournament poker baby, and the most important thing is I was happy I played more or less to the best of my ability over the 3 days. Obviously there's always the thought of what might have been: if the AK had held up I think I'd have been in a great position to take down the tournament but it was not to be. But a second final table in only my fourth multiday tournament outing in Ireland is not to be sniffed at.

The brother played brilliant too and given even average luck would have been on the final table with me. Unfortunately, he ran shocking bad the second day, not managing even one of about 8 races he went into ahead. He had a percentage in me so I think that cushioned the blow, at least fiscally. It's a bit mad someone as underrolled as he is is happy to lump as much of me as I'll let him have on these long shot mtts but he clings to the absurd notion that I'm ridiculously +EV in these things, particularly the more deep stacky ones.

At the other end of the spectrum, was second in my local pub last Wednesday. Lost nearly all my chips early on when outdrawn, then got back into it with one great play. Had a 3 to 1 chip lead at the start of the headsup but the opponent found the correct strategy of going All in 2 out of every 3 hands as I looked down at a succession of 83's and 72's. By the time I finally found a hand I thought I was ahead with, A9, he'd edged ahead. I was also wrong about being ahead, he had AK, and I didn't suck out.

Saturday, May 3, 2008

Manchester trip report

Didn't actually get there until the Thursday, after finding out at the airport on Monday that what I thought was a confirmed flight reservation was actually "PENDING". RyanAir tried to shake 250 euro by two out of me but I decided instead to take the hit of the hotel cancellation fee.
So we (that is, the brother et moi) finally got there Thursday afternoon. A noon flight meant getting up at the crack of dawn so I could do my hill session in the Phoenix Park first. Hotel was quite nice, located in a very old building right beside the cathedral in the centre of Manchester.
First outing for both of us was a 100 pound side tournament. We both went reasonably well early on but came a cropper on the second last tables. The damage was done for me when I decided to defend my BB with 76s against a guy who was raising every time it was folded around to him. Flop came 972 and I checked with the intenion of raising but he checked behind. Turn brought a Queen making me feel less confident my 7 was good. He duly bet and I went into the tank looking for a read. This seemed to piss him off and he did that classic misdirection thing of complaining to the woman beside him, which is nearly always a sign of weakness. When he then called clock on me I was almost certain my 7 was still good so I called. River brought a 10, and again he bet and instantly called clock. He seemed a little stronger this time but I figured I had to call. Given that he'd called clock instantaneously and the dealer accepted it (standard of dealing was uniformly abysmal compared to Ireland), I considered asking for a ruling just for the heck of it but decided it might not be a good idea ot a table full of Manc pykies looking to gang up on the Irish guy in the suit. After I mucked, the verbal aggro continued as he tried to figure out what I had and he told his fellow pykies he should have demanded to see.
Anyway, the 10 had hit him (he was playing 106) and I was in shove or fold mode, and out shortly afterwards, ironically enough to my nemesis. He was beaming as if I should be more upset that it was him who got my chips, but actually I was quite relieved to have an excuse to dispense with the customary handshake and other niceties.
FRIDAY
Got up early after about 4 hours sleep to the horrors of a "full English", followed by 90 minutes of lying down trying to digest unaccustomed stodge, and then I went out for my scheduled run: a nice leisurely 5 miles. Manchester is shockingly lacking in parks and green spaces, so I ended up running out to one of the horrible burbs (think Ballymun meets a decaying industrial estate).
We got to the casino around 1 and met up with the Green Joker Poker people, including Fran Egan who is on a tournament rush at the moment. Also met Peter Murphy, fresh from his recent triumph in the Sporting Emporium 500 Euro game, Rob Taylor, Kat O'Neill and Conor Smyth.
Play started at 2. I got a tough enough table draw: Thomas Dunwoodie on my right, John Conroy across the table from me, and no obviously weak players. I was pretty card dead for the first two sessions which meant I just drifted back from the 10K starting stack to just under 6K. Then a rush of cards saw me claw my way up to 13K, when my first car crash hand happened. John Conroy raised in early position, Thomas Dunwoodie flatcalled in the cutoff, and I decided to flatcall and see what the flop brought. KJ10, with two hearts. Conroy sticks in a 2/3rds pot bet, Dunwoodie flatcalls, and as happy as I am to have hit my set, alarm bells go off and I wonder if it's good at this point. I decide to call and see what happens. Turn is a blank, Conroy leads out for half the pot, Dunwoodie calls, and so do I, praying one of these guys is playing KQ or KJ and the other is on a heart draw but not wishing to escalate the pot any further. An Ace on the river saves me and Dunwoodie (who was holding JJ) from losing any more to Conroy's flopped straight (AQ). It's hard to find a silver lining when a flopped set costs you half your stack and I did play the hand pretty weakly but it could have been worse. Dunwoodie said afterwards he felt he should have raised preflop. In that scenario, I'd probably have called, Conroy folded, and I could have lost everything as I'd have a harder time believing my set wasn't good against one opponent. Nevertheless, at the break I was feeling pretty downbeat.
Then another card rush plus a few well timed moves saw me race back up to 22K. Alas, it was now time for my second car crash hand, but not before Andreas Hoivold made a cameo appearance. He arrived at the table with about 20K and I donated another 4K to him on his first hand when he raised utg and I called on the button with 88. Flop comes 1099, he leads out, I raise to 3K to see if he has it, he moves allin and I fold like a girl. A couple of hands later, Hoivold's in the small blind with Conroy (who has been playing like Rocky McRock of Rockaragua but catching big cards - Aces seven times unless I lost count), the only player at the table who covers him, in the BB. It's folded around, Hoivold completes, Conroy raises 1K, Hoivold immediately makes it 5K (it looks for all the world like a petulant reraise), Conroy almost instantly moves all in, and Hoivold instacalls. Two big hands clearly, though both turn over hands at the bottom of my expecations: Conroy has QQ, Hoivold AQ. The case queen on the flop kills Hoivold and he's out. Afterwards there's general bemusement that he instacalled an allin with AQ, with Conroy noting that the Scandis use game theory and the idea of taking risks to get the big tank to take it to the next level. Dunwoodie thinks perhaps that Hoivold was playing in standard "Scandi maniac against fellow Scandi maniac" rather than "Scandi maniac against Irish rock" mode.
Anyway, the second car crash. Blinds are 200/400 when I raise to 1200 in the cutoff with AK. SB, a looseish Brazilian young online qualifier, reraises to 3100, and I flatcall. Flop comes KQ9, he instachecks, and I check behind. In the past, he's tended to check his stronger hands and bet with nothing. Turn brings an 8, he leads out for 3K, I raise to 8K to test if he really has it, he asks how much I have left (it's about 10K) and moves all in. It's an easy fold given how little I'm beating ("Just a bluff really" as Rob Taylor pointed out later, and a bluff in a situation where I seem committed to call is pretty unlikely) but I almost made a stubborn call. I'll obviously never know for sure but my instinct says I was most likely up against a set of Queen's (or less likely, Kings, or KQ).
Afterwards I got moved to a new table and witnessed a huge hand straight away. There was an under the gun flat call and Nikhil Persaud in the BB said "Oooo, what does a flat call under the gun from him mean?". The guy on the button said "It means fold without looking" but in actual fact, he and the SB flat called, then Nikhil looks at his cards and says "I don't have a hand I can throw away", has a long ponder, and reraises. The original utg caller flatcalls, everyone else goes away, and when the flop comes Q82 rainbow, Persaud leads out for 5K, the original utg caller makes it 15K and after a very long dwell Persaud calls. Turn's an Ace and it goes check check. River's a blank, Persaud asks how much the guy has left (30K), and bets 12K. After a long dwell and a lot of speech play, the guy eventually calls. Persaud shows AQ and the other guy mucks. There's a debate at the table as to whether he was playing KK or KQ (Persaud's opinion). Meanwhile, I get a succession of 73o and 42o and with people shoving ahead of me never got a chance to get it in until I'm down to under 5K with the blinds at 400/800 and in the SB. The BB informs me he'll call without looking. Actually there's an UTG limper, 3 callers, I look down at KQ, so it's an automatic shove. The BB actually does look and moves all in over the top himself for about 30K much to my delight as I'll be getting about 3 to 1 on my money if we go heads up. Actually, the first few limpers fold but the last guy (the one Persaud had outplayed earlier) calls. The good news is he only has K4s (!!!! - I guess he's still steaming from the hand with Persaud): the bad news is the BB has woken up with AA. The flop comes with a Q to briefly give me hope, but the K4s hits runner runner for a flush to scoop the lot. I can't have any complaints but it goes without saying the guy with Aces is far from happy. The other guy had already started to leave the table, not realising his flush had won.
Meanwhile, the brother's been nursing a small stack through the 100 side event in his usual fashion, and ends up nursing it all the way to the final table and a great 7th place for 410 quid. I'm delighted for him (and also myself, as I have half his action).
SATURDAY
Got up early after just 4 hours sleep for another full English horror and then my run: 5 miles warmup, a series of 200 metre sprint in the only 200 metre long park I can find, then 5 miles warm down. We're back at the casino by 2 ready to play in the 300 side event. The brother's not at all sure about whether he wants to play or not but in the end does after I agree to buy him in (in return for 80% of his action). I get off to a horrible start losing a third of my stack when my queens run into a flopped set of 10's. By the time our table breaks, I'm down to less than half my starting stack due to card death.
The new table features my nemesis from the first side event in all his noxiousness. Then I pick up pocket aces under the gun. Given that I'm now short I want to get paid. The big blind is away from the table and my nemesis is on the button, already eyeing the free blind and glaring the table down challenging one of us, any of us, to contest "his" blind. I decide to flat call so as to maximise his rope with which to hang himself. Everyone else folds like a girl as the button's nostrils flair, and sure enough, he four bets. I flat call and the flop brings J66. I check, he bets pot, and I call again. Turn brings another 6, I check and call another big bet. River brings a 7 and from my read on the guy I'm pretty sure he has nothing much and will check behind if I check so I have to figure how to get more out of him. I announce all in and tell him I know he doesn't have the jack or the 6, and smirk at him as much as to say "You've been outplayed mate". I can see he's about to fold so I make a motion as if to muck my cards and try one last trick, telling him he can't ask the dealer to see them this time unless he pays. Seemingly against his better judgment, he shoves in over quarter of his remaining stack for the dubious privilege of seeing my Aces. He tries to muck without showing and as the final provocation I ask the dealer to turn them over. Queen high. General consternation at the table as I say to the guy beside me "Some people think Queen high is a good hand". Shortly afterwards, the tables breaks (ironically with the departure of my steaming nemesis).
My new table is a bit of a nightmare. About half the guys from my first main event table, including Dunwoodie, and for added difficulty, Osman Mustanoglu, one of Britain's top online cash game players who I've locked horns with a few times online, enough to go how seriously fucking good he is. Nevertheless I continue to make some good progress, first at the expense of Dunwoodie who has me down as a total nit by now to the point he's folding anything but the nuts when I bet, and then against a good LAG who gets unlucky when my pair of 8's backdoors into a straight that he can't put me on. So I'm up to about 15K and looking good until I lock horns with Osman. He raises in mid-to-late position. From my prior knowledge of him I know he's doing this with almost any half decent hand, and I have a pair of queens, so I 3 bet to get heads up with him. He comes back over the top, all in. From the way he's playing in this particular tournament, I figure his range for this move is any pair from 8's or maybe 9's up (already saw him do something similar with 9's) but not aces or kings, AK, and maybe AQ, so I call. He says ruefully to Dunwoodie "My turn to double someone up" (Dunwoodie having just doubled him up with the 9's) so I'm hoping to see the underpair but unfortunately it's ace king for a classic race, he hits both his horseys on the flop, no third Hilton sister arrives, and I'm out. I hate the Hilton sisters, it seems like 80% of my recent exits happen holding them, but given the way the table was playing, I was happy enough with the move: with no easy chips and only supreme arrogance to base the notion that I could outplay these guys on late streets, maximising variance by sticking them all in preflop with marginally the better hand seemed like the best strategy to get the big tank.
Meanwhile, the brother is grinding along with about 5K as I head to the cash tables and sit down in a game with blinds of 2/2 with Peter Murphy to my immediate right. First time playing cash live for me, and a real eye opener! Typical pot is someone opens utg for 8-10 big blinds, and 4 or 5 people call. I lose a big pot early on with Kings, then win one with the same hand, then lose another, and on it goes. There's momentary excitement as some guy goes running through the casino apparently pursued by security staff. Someone shouts what sounds like "Gun! Gun" (though others thought it was "John! John!"), and as the players eye each other nervously waiting for someone else to be the first to dive under the table, the dealer tries to reassure us, saying "Guns are unusual here. Lots of knives and stabbings, but not too many guns". The secutity staff eventually get the situation under control and the cops arrive.
I left the game a small winner after about 4 hours but should and would have been a bigger winner but for one hand that Fran Egan arrived just in time to witness. An Asian guy who had just sat down moved all in from early position, I called with pocket aces in the small blind, board came Q9742 and I'm thinking happy days unless he has a weird two pairs or two clubs (there are three out). Guess what? He does have 2 clubs: 10 and 8. I almost have to be scraped off the chair and make my exit shortly afterwards fearing tilt.
In the mean time, I've been going to check on the brother at regular intervals. He's perpetually short stacked and I keep expecting to see him appear to tell me he's out at any minute but no, he's still in somehow. The short stack on the second last table, he starts playing some great fearless poker and makes it to the final table with 25K, still the short stack, but playable.
We go back to the hotel room and he's buzzing, so we stay up for a while. A discussion develops as to how we play medium pairs in late position late on in tournaments when relatively short stacked (a very typical scenario for us). Before we know it, sheets and pencils have been produced, calculations performed, and a conclusion reached that our way of playing them in this situation is sub optimal by and large. Bizarrely, these calculations underpin a decision the brother makes the following day at the final table that transforms his prospects.
SUNDAY
Up early again with a long run scheduled. I zig zag around the city centre for 90 minutes on the run. By 2 we're back in the casino for the brother's final table. My conqueror Osman Mustanoglu is there too, or rather should be (he turns up late, and despite having a huge stack is first man out, pushing middle pair into the nut straight).
The brother played the best I've ever seen him play. He was patient early on with the short stack, then he raised in mid to late position, the big blind (second shortest stack) moved all in and after a long ponder the brother called with pocket 7's. The other guy had 6's and the 7's held. His next big hand involved calling an utg all in from a shortish stack with A10 in the SB - the guy had A8 and again the better hand held. And on he went, managing to get the marginal decisions right every time
Meanwhile my final event, a 100 side tournament, had started. Luckily I got drawn on the nearest table and it's fairly safe to say that until the brother finally exited in fourth for over 3 grand sterling, I was more preoccupied by events on his table than on mine. To my prejudiced eye, he was by far the best player on the final table and would have taken it down were it not for a sustained period of card death when it got short handed, and his few playable hands kept running into dominating hands that went all in. He ducked a few bullets but in the end was short enough to be obliged to push from the SB with Q8s and he ran into 10's. Still, I was dead proud of him, and dead chuffed with the financial injection that made the weekend a net winner for me. He hit top form late last year claiming the World Face Up and the Fitz EOM within a couple of weeks of each other, but then a bad run after Xmas starting in Galway killed the love for him for a while. He's such a consistent great player that once he learns better bankroll management and to accept that long bad streaks are an inevitable part of the swings of tournament poker, he'll be a major force to be reckoned with.
Meanwhile, I was coming a cropper in the side event. I don't remember winning a single hand and with the blinds escalating needed to make a move. When I picked up KJ in the small blind and the button flat called, I figured now was the time. I stuck in a 3.5 bet reraise, which he called. Flop came A107, and I checked to see if he had the Ace. He checked behind, and from my read on him I was pretty sure he didn't have it. Turn brought a 9 and with a well disguised double belly buster and almost as much in the pot already as I had left behind, I pushed all in representing the ace, thinking he couldn't call without the ace himself, and even if he did, I had 8 outs. How wrong I was: he made a crying call with 108. Fair enough I suppose since he had the open ended draw himself, although he apparently didn't realise it (when the Jack hit the river, he said "Well done" and stood up to leave) so I guess he was simply playing the ten.
Anyway, I was out and off to the cash tables again. I tried to get the brother to play too, but so convinced is he that he's a useless cash player that he wouldn't even take me up on a staking offer. I somehow found myself in a pot limit game (never played pot limit hold 'em before, even online), got zero cards, then when I did finally get a hand I got no action, then once I realised this I started bluffing left right and centre until I'd broken even overall. Action was slow and boring though, and the dealers were dreadful, so I decided to call it a night.
Meanwhile, Donal Norton was flying the flag for Irish poker in the 200 side event. He literally tore through the entire field: he must have personally knocked out about half of the field. A field of many top class English, French and Scandi pros literally didn't know what to do against his Irish hyperaggression. I don't think I've ever seen anyone totally dominate an MTT like that: by the time he got headsup he had 95% of the chips, and he did it so quickly the tournament ended several hours ahead of schedule. I spoke to him quite a bit on the Saturday and Sunday and got a bit of an understanding and real admiration for his game. Hyperaggressive and somewhat unorthodox he may be, but he was nearly always ahead when the money went in, and he's also capable of great laydowns. He has an instinctive poker genius for reading people and situations that can't be learned from a book or an Internet forum, and I'm convinced he's going to be a poker superstar. Great natural charisma too, and a passion for the game. He seems to operate best in the moments of most uncertainty, and he heightens that uncertainty in his opponents minds. He'll play the nuts and the stone cold bluff the same way so it's almost impossible to know where you are at any point in a hand with him.

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