Monday, August 24, 2009

The perils of multitabling in a car

Team event: We came, we saw, we were conquered. Plan going into day 1 was to try and get everyone through to day 2 and not worry too much about stack sizes. As it was, we were all down on starting stack at the break, and only myself above by the end of day 1, but it was main mission accomplished. I had an interesting table draw with Smurph to my immediate left, Christy Morkan (playing very disciplined stuff) to her left, and WSOP bracelet holder Lawrence Gosney (Dave "The Legend" Curtis was there briefly too). Gosney is basically a maniac, but a good one. Since I got run over by two maniacs at the European Deepstack earlier this year I've put a lot of thought into how to counter them early in an MTT and play them much better now I think. Gosney was running over the table, but I got nearly all my chips from or as a result of him (Martin Silke tried to counter his manic aggession with even more manic aggression and overshipped 99 into my KK waiting behind). I moved from 6K up to 30K only to drop 8 on the last hand in a spot where I probably shouldn't have got involved.

We came back on day 2 with only ourselves and the Kerry team fully intact. They lost three early on so it was looking good briefly, but then I lost half my stack when (as reported on Irish Poker Radio) I ran AKs into AA. Maybe I need to start playing AK a little slower live, online it's always correct to get it in I think because of the number of weaker ace calls you get, but live ranges are different. OTOH, if I start routinely folding AK to a reraise, I'll be folding too much of my early position opening range.

Shortly after that we started losing team members like skittles and by the time I exitted in 48th (to Frances McCormack, two pair v better two pair, blind on blind and shallow), we were pretty much out of the hunt, unless Rob pulled off a miracle and won. Rob gave his usual resilient performance, coming back shortest of all on day 2 yet going deep. By the end all we had to play for was a sidebet with Fintan's Galway team. Fintan, never a man to miss an angle, offered to cancel the bet with 18 left, but even though Rob was very short we decided to keep our collective nerve on the basis that Rob was better than 50/50 to secure 13th and most of our equity at that point resided in his chances of so doing. As it happened, he went out in exactly 13th to pip Fintan's team by 1 point.

So disappointment for us overall but very happy with how everyone played. Bottom line is we didn't get the requisite luck.

Great tourney though even if they must have been disappointed at the turnout, run as brilliantly as ever by JP (or rather JP's Christine). Delighted to see two mates of mine Dave Masters and Big Mick G get headsup. Particularly thrilled to see Dave notch up another win in both the team and the individual, amd Big Mick is on a sick run live, only a matter of time before he clicks a big live result. Top class young lad with the talent, attitude and work ethic to go really far. Was a moment when Mick came over while I was playing FT of the side event and made a comment to me that rubbed some others at the table up the wrong way. I explained it was playful banter between friends rather than malicious arrogance from an Internet superstar and nothing I wouldn't say to him (and in fact did later on when he was headsup with Dave).

300 side event: Jumped into this shortly after my exit. Tough table again with The Legend, Tom Kitt and Nicky O'Donnell all to my immediate left. I don't have a great record in side events, at least compared to main events, part of which I attribute to the worse structures, but part of which is probably down to it being hard to focus on playing my best stuff immediately after the disappointment of a main event exit. And to be honest, I didn't play all that well early on, finding it hard to focus on it with Rob still in the main. I compensated for it by running well (for a change) winning two flips against Nicky where I was on the marginally worse side. First one, I was down to less than 6K at 150/300 when I opened for 850 with AQ in lateish position. Nicky called on the button and we saw a flop of Q87 with two spades. With an SPR of less than 3 my main concern at this point with TPTK is how to get the rest of the chips in rather than protection, and with Nicky playing very well and very aggressively decided on the check raise all in approach. As it happened, Nicky was playing 9s6s so he had a monster draw that was actually favourite, but thankfully he missed everything. My other big hand (Nicky's exit) was a straightforward race: I opened in lateish pos with AKs, Nicky overshipped 88 in the SB, and I called. Given the way AK has been going for me lately I did think about it a little first, but was definitely getting the price against Nicky's range (the BB was absent so Nicky may have felt my range was wider than normal, meaning his was too). Was my first significant playing time with Nicky and he played extremely well (great four bet bluff early on that he showed). Obviously very unlucky to lose both those big hands against me, and even unluckier to lose another all in with a dominating ace.

The other big hand of day one for me was Tom Kitt's exit. Tom overshipped A2o on the button after I raised, I called with JJ and obviously held. I'd been a lot more active than normal so Tom probably felt my range was wider and I'd have to fold most of it.

Came back on day 2 with 38K, well above average. Early on, nothing went right and I'd pretty much open folded or cbet folded half my stack away by the time we got to the final table. There were a few marginal decisions where I was almost getting the right price to call but I erred on the side of caution as I felt I'd have a decent edge on the FT if I got there. As it was though, I had to get very lucky after I went card dead at the start. I shipped KTs for 6 bigs into QQ, flop AJx, case queen on the turn straightens me up. That gave me some chips to play with and I moved from 40K to 120K without showdown before the table dynamics forced me to tighten up. There was one monster stack to my immediate left, I was second in chips, and everyone else was very short, so I was happy enough to play the waiting game and let the big stack knock out the others. By the time I got headsup with Annette from Sligo, I was outchipped almost 6 to 1 with less than 10 bigs so there wasn't a massive amount of play. I told Annette I didn't think it would last very long and it didn't. I needed to double up to be able to play some proper poker. Early on, I did try to keep the pots small by limping my button, something I almost never do normally, but once the blinds went up knocking me down to 8 bigs, it was ship or fold and I shipped it in with two paint cards, got called by 88, and lost the race. So second for €3800, which I had to be happy with given I went into the FT as the shortie, and felt justified my earlier decision to make the marginal folds rather than gamble prematurely.

Online: The side event ended just in time for me to play the Late Night Poker Stars weekly final (and the Poker Million qualifier on Full Tilt), albeit having to play in the car as Mireille drove me home. Got off to a flier in the Poker Million and was among chipleaders for a long time until I went card dead and then squeezed with 88 over 5 limpers and got called by JT. The Stars thing was a real rollercoaster, good start, then virtually crippled, back up again, then misclicked half my stack away (the perils of multitabling in a car). Luckily I continued to run good when it mattered most and ended up on the final table with Big Iain (of Irish Poker radio). Was chatting on MSN to Iain through the tournament. Iain got very unlucky with AK v AJ but hung around to rail me to the win along with a few other poker buddies. Was glad he finally got to see me win a tournament after his slagging about my inability to close out. The headsup was a real slog as I got my opponent down from level to 5 to 1 in my favour before he came bouncing back into the lead. I got him down low again and overshipped an ace. He called with a king and an ace on the flop removed any sweat. Good craic with some mates railing me, and some Corkonians shouting "death to the jackeen traitor" in the chatbox, making the victory all the sweeter. Did feel sorry for my opponent though who played really well and must have been devastated to be so near and yet so far. By the end Mireille and my brother were watching me and they were a lot more nervous than I was. I love it every time my brother watches me these days: "Ugh, 72o, you're obviously folding. What, you raised, are you crazy? AKQ, he bet, now you give up obviously, what, you raised him again? Wow, he folded". Yes, I'm a bit different these days from the monkey he trained to play premiums only.

Anyway, great end to the night, delighted to have qualified for the RTE thing the hard way, and looking forward to my TV heat in October now, and giving the "seasoned pros" a run for their money (was joking with John O'Shea that I was hoping for another min cash and his reply was "the seasoned pros won't allow that to happen").

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Happy birthday Vera

Near miss in last night's Paddy sat for the IWF. Down to 5, 1 $4K package and two $1800 consolation prizes (really wish they'd spread those out more, one giant stack, two medium, me shortish, other guy very short. I called a ship from him with TT, he had 66 and spiked a 6 on the river. Pushed my way back into contention until it was him short again. I was fourth in chips marginally behind third but the blinds and antes were so massive my M was a mere six, so almost any king in the small blind was an autoship. Unfortunately the big blind, the guy who barely covered me, woke up with 99 and I didn't suck out. That's poker.

Playing Vera's birthday bash tonight, always a great occasion with the First Lady of Irish poker, and then the team event on Friday.

Also, there's a new Irish ultrarunners website http://www.irishultrarunners.com which includes a summary of my running career (to date: they seem to be sticking a fork in it but I'm not convinced I'm done yet).

Monday, August 17, 2009

Sweating like a rapist

Good weekend in the Macau, which is great place to play poker apart from the fact that it gets so hot it has us all (in the words of Eoin Olin) sweating like a rapist.

Main event: Never really got going to be honest. Very tough table draw with Eoin, Andy Grimasson, Noel Magner and Derek Murray (and Keith McFadden arrived later). Ran pretty bad apart from spiking a few sets, none of which got paid, was down to 7K at one point but recovered to finish the day with 22K. Briefly got it up to about 30K on day 2 (horrible draw again: Noel Magner, Paul Spillane, Marty Smyth, Derek Murray), then prolonged card death and running into hands saw me drift back to being very short. Eventually got it in with KK against eventual winner Knuckles A2 and an ace on the turn sent me packing. At least the chips went to a good home, with Knuckles playing very well.

Charity game: Joined this very late meaning I was effectively starting short stacked. Got nothing to play with until I picked up 55 in the BB. The SB, a hyperlag raising every hand, raised and called my ship with JT and won the race.

Freeroll: This one was the funniest. Starting stack 4K, first playable hand I pick up is my old nemesis KK. Young Nordy kid raises to 200 (4 bigs) utg, Welsh Jay from Kerry makes it 600, I more or less commit myself by raising to 1700, Jay calls. Flop ATT, Jay open ships, and I think ugh, he has the ace so cut my losses showing. He shows QT, so was the correct fold but unexpected. A short while later, Jay raises to 600, I ship AQ assuming I'm ahead given how loose he is, but he has QQ and holds.

Sunday side game: Similarly short and brutal. Early on I lost a healthy chunk of my stack to Lucky Jimmy with AK on a K high flop (he was slowplaying AA from the blinds), then another chunk with 88 against Martin Noonan's 55 on a 665 flop, and went out shipping KK into AA.

On the plus side, two of my swaps final tabled which more or less got me out for the weekend.

Watched some of the final table, which seemingly followed a pattern for much of it, with John O'Shea running over it till he got unlucky and knocked back down, then coming storming back only to get unlucky again. He eventually lost a race to exit in third, after which we headed back to the hotel, I potted online a little (to no great effect) and we got the train back this morning.

My interview with Nicky and big Ian for Irish Poker radio is now available (http://www.irishpokerradio.com). Also while in Cork I did one of those Headsup with....things for Boyle's which presumably will surface on their website at some point.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Owned in backgammon and the best free pizza line

Poker: running well online again. Followed up cash in $45K on Ipoker with a final table the following night. Ended up 6th for $2K, 99 < A9 all in pre. Played a $100 10 seater at the same time and won that, and cashed in a few sit n goes on Full Tilt at the same time so a good night all told. Only disappointment was coming 6th in the IWF satellite (2 packages).

Running: getting back into the full swing of it, feeling much more positive, and looking to run maybe one more ultra this year. I'd love to win another race before I get too old to be competitive at the top level so I've set that as my immediate goal. If I can get in shape for New York, I might give that a lash.

Irish Poker radio: Good craic with Ian and Nicky (and Paul Smallwood who was there too). Not sure about my interview, I think it might sound a bit Rain Man talks about maths in poker, but we shall see (or hear). Ian asked me to bring along a backgammon set and myself and Nicky played. Nicky's very good, we had a number of close games in a 3 pointer until the last one which he totally ran away with. There's a hidden danger with having "former backgammon champion" on your Hendon mob: I could be the fish that gets hustled by the poker players who can play the game into having to justify myself.

Free pizza: After we got home, Mireille ordered pizza. When it arrived, and had been inspected, she announced they'd got "the simplest little order" wrong. Naturally suspicious, I got her to repeat the order as she had delivered it. Something like "OK, I want a pizza, half with olives, half with pepperoni, and another half olives, half plain. Or wait, you can make one with olives and the other half pepperoi, half plain. That's simpler and the same thing". I offered the opinion that the confusion was perhaps not entirely surprising. She offered the counter opinion that I am an arsehole. Later, we got a free pizza after she rang to complain. I suggested that this was a very plus Ev outcome that rendered her whole "deliver the order in the most circuitous and confusing way possible" line optimal. The heavily accented English was a bonus. I suggested that the line should be reused in future. She repeated her earlier comparison of me to one of the most underrated parts of the human body.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Tonight's LOL hand

Good day today, recent upswing on Full Tilt continued with a few healthy cashes, and I cashed in the evening $45K Gtd rebuy on Ipoker (formerly the $50K). No big deal, went out in 26th for a profit of just over $200. Every time I play the tournament I ask myself why I don't play it every night: std dreadful. I think I've played it maybe 10 times in total and cashed 5 or 6 times and final tabled it twice. Gets very crapshooty from bubble time on with the extent of most people's decisions being whether to fold, or push their 6 to 10 big blind stack. I exitted tonight pushing my 8 bigs with KQ into AK.

Tonight's LOL hand:

Small blind limps, I check with Q4.
Flop AQT. He checks, I chuck out a half pot bet which he calls.
Turn K. Check check.
River J. So now there's broadway on the board, no flushes are possible, so a split is inevitable. He checks and I comedy ship.
After some thought, he folds.

Monday, August 10, 2009

The key keeps getting lower

Been a mixed week to say the least online. Actually, it's felt like a horror show, it's included my worst downswing to date on Full Tilt (25 consecutive Sit n Goes without a cash), a couple of frustrating nearly misses (twice I got headsup for a GUKPT package, both times I managed to lose), but somehow I've managed to escape from it with a profit overall of $1600. To do that while seemingly running like a zombie with an eating disorder is something of a relief.

Tilt has been going so well for me that there was bound to be a downswing at some point (and most likely just after I post a brag graph boasting how well it's going), but knowing that doesn't make it any less unpleasant or easier to deal with when it happens.

This week online included:

SNGs: Returned to playing some on Ipoker with very good results. Won a few 10 mans and 6 mans. Started really well on Full Tilt, then had the 25 streak, ended wellish. Interesting spot in the last 45 man I played on Tilt. The bubble had just broken. The pay structure is such that there's bugger all difference between 5th and 6th (less than half a buyin), but after that it gets steeper (just under 2 buyins between 5th and 4th, just over 2 between 4th and 3rd, 4 between 3rd and 2nd, and 6 between second and first). The chipleader was a maniac who barely covered me. Between us we had two thirds of the chips. One guy was ubershort (one big blind), everyone else had about 4 bigs. I look down at queens and think "Nice", then the maniac open ships (which he's doing a lot). My bubble factor here is pretty massive (I estimated it at 2 at the time) since he covers me and I can pretty much fold to 3rd place at worst. I therefore figure I need to be a 2 to 1 favourite against his range to make the call profitable. Unfortunately his range was clearly so wide (a lot of raggy aces and lower pairs) I had to just accept that the call had to be made. Unfortunately he had the one hand I didn't really want to see (I ruled out KK+ as he'd surely have played slower), AK, and he won the race. Afterwards I had time to do the ICM/bubble factor calculations in detail and it turns out I should have folded the queens! Even if I think he's shipping A7+, any pair, and KQ, queens only has 70% equity against that range. This much I figured out on the spot: the problem is I underestmated the bubble factor. I've never seen it higher than 2 before in non-satellite tournaments after the money bubble has burst, but this was such a skewed stack distribution that it turns out the bubble factor is nearer to 3 rather than to 2, 2.6 to be exact so I need 72% equity for the call to be correct. So it's a (marginal) fold, and calling is a (small) mistake.

I did instinctively feel at the time that it was pretty marginal and that neither folding nor calling was a major mistake, and in marginal spots I tend to prefer the call, as it makes you less exploitable late on against other regulars who will have stats on how much you call in those spots. There are a few regs I know of who will only call ships with monsters late on, and that means I can profitably ship any two cards into them when I cover them. Conversely, there are other regs who call much lighter than they should mathematically, so in their case a bit of thought has to go into my shipping ranges, which makes them less exploitable.

MTTs: Mostly played feeder sats and supersats. Feedered into all the supers, so although I didn't land a package for Macau, the IWF or a GUKPT, I did win some consolation cash for the near misses making them marginally profitable overall. Big success story was winning a ticket to the $1050 WCOOP event in the Stars money added sat. Played a few and almost gave up as they're pretty crapshooty, but added money is never to be sniffed at so I persevered. They key to the one where I landed a ticket was getting two early 80/20s to hold. After that I pretty much minned my way to the ticket: satellite strategy 101. Played a few normal MTTs and notched up a few small cashes but nothing to get too excited about.

HU: Playing less of this as the Ipoker fish appear to have cottoned on to more or less correct strategy in the superturbos, maing them only very marginally profitable for me. I find if I do a batch and it goes badly it's quite upsetting, so what I've been doing of late is just firing one up when I find myself with some spare time (even when multitabling, if the MTTs or STTs I'm playing are all in the early stages, I'm basically folding 90% of hands pre and doing nothing creative post, so there's a lot of thumb twiddling time once I've clicked the Fold button on every screen). Because I'm doing them on a more ad hoc basis that attacking them in the 20 an hour way I used to, the downswings don't affect me as much. Also, because I'm multitabling while doing them, once it reaches the ship/fold stage, once I've made my decision to ship (or call a ship), I turn my attention back to the other tables, and when I go back to the HU STT all I know is my new chip total, not whether I got lucky or picked up a bad beat. Not knowing whether the other donkey called after you shipped queens with kings or 42o means never having to tilt when it turns out your queens lost.

Cash: Played some holdem, a little PLO, and some razz. All three marginally profitable (razz better than marginal), but I find cash a real grind, too much like working, so I find it harder and harder to motivate myself to do it.

Plan for next week is more of the same until I go to Cork on Friday for the Macau tourney. Also, I'll probably be interviewed on Irish Poker Radio this Wednesday, so you have been warned.

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Back to the grind

Played the last side event in the Sporting Emporium's festival last night. First time there in yonks, disappointing enough turnout (18 runners) and I was crippled early on running queens into kings for the second time in a week. No regrets this time, the hand played itself, there's a world of difference between calling a Chris Dowling ship from the blinds getting 2 to 1 after you've raised the button, and shipping after Derek Murray has 4 bet from early position. Good craic while it lasted with Chris Dowling to my immediate left: Chris has had the Indian sign on me recently knocking me out of at least two tournaments and crippling me last night. Sporting Emporium is still a wonderful venue to play in but struggling for numbers: Alex is doing good work there trying to keep it going in what are clearly difficult circumstances.

Other than that, it's back on the horse and into the grind, which is probably lss newsorthy than the other way around. I've been running very badly on Tilt the past week but just won my first 45 man in yonks so better things ahead hopefully. Playing a bit of headsup and 6 and 10 mans on Ipoker again, and cashed in an MTT on Tilt last night (albeit a frustrating 2 buyin cash). Probably won't play live again before the Macau although would like to play Ciaran Moloney's going away thing in the Jackpot if I get a chance. Should be great craic and I encourage anyone looking for a game on Saturday to give it a lash.

Also, not sure if I mentioned this before but I'm now on Facebook and Twitter (DaraOKearney) to make it easier to cyberstalk me if you're so inclined. Plan going forward is to tweet chip counts (and maybe big hands) live from the bigger live tourneys I play. I promise to try to keep the bad beat whinges to a minimum.

Monday, August 3, 2009

I hate poker

Well, sometimes anyway. Tonight was looking like a big breakthrough night for me, was flying in both the Stars weekly final and the Poker Million qualifier on Full Tilt.

Stars: Trebled up practically first hand (set versus TPTK and overpair), comfortable all the way to the final table when I picked up aces 7 handed. Decided to limp them to maximise chance of getting action, and the eventual winner obliged, shipping KJ behind and flopping and rivering the jacks. Never really recovered from that and went out in 6th.

Poker Million: Early doubleup (AA v QQ all in pre), in great shape all the way, massive chipleader with 28K (second was 20K) with 15 left when I lost a 34K flip (AK v TT). Shortly afterwards, lost another flip against the short stack to become the short stack. Exited in 11th shipping AQ into KK. Turned an ace only to be rivered by a king.

Main event Galway: Good start, then probably my worst live moment this year. Derek Murray raised to 800 in early position, I made it 2500 on the button with queens (fine), he reraised to 7000 and after some thought I shipped my 17K (terribad). This despite the fact that my gut was telling me he almost certainly had kings here. But somehow I donk wishful thinking talked myself into "It might be AK". Pretty horrible stuff: Derek's range for the initial raise might be wide enough, but his range for 4 betting someone like me wouldn't be. Honestly don't know what came over me: would have been amazed not to see kings. And didn't.

Side event: Bubbled this fucker. Pretty card dead for the duration but notwithstanding managed to make the final table. Manus asked me at one point if I'd ever been over starting stack. Managed to get up to about 30K, which was 7 bigs by the time I shipped AJ from the SB over a limper. He tanked it and eventually made the call with AQ. I thought I was good as he took an eternity to turn over his cards and was nodding his head in a "Yeah, you got me" sort of way but no, and no suckout either.

Enjoyed the week in Galway though, and fair play to Fintan and Dave. They've created a very special atmosphere for poker down there.

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