Wednesday, April 22, 2015

An Irish Open once again?

I was both surprised and heartened that my latest blog 'The Last Supper' provoked so much serious discussion in the Irish (and indeed international) poker community on the state of the Irish Open, calling into question some of the choices made by sponsors Paddy Power Poker. When I finished the blog at 5 AM less than 36 hours after the event, I turned my computer off and headed to bed, wondering if there would be any reaction when I woke up. As I brushed my teeth, my phone started to buzz with notifications of incoming tweets, Facebook messages, and text messages. It ended up being 6.30 before I finally got to bed, spending 90 minutes reading the almost instant reactions.

The blog was not intended as an attack piece on Paddy, or its poker team. While critical of this year's event, I did spend about half of it being complimentary, making clear my belief that historically, Paddy Power has been a good caretaker of the Open. This point was largely overlooked in the reaction so it bears repeating that Paddy took over the Irish Open when it was struggling, and its future uncertain, and transformed it into Europe's leading event.

Because of my age people often assume I started playing circa 1980, but as someone who only learned the rules in 2007 (inspired to do so after seeing the Irish Open on RTE), the Irish Open has always been the Paddy Power Irish Open for me. I first played it in 2008, when 667 players and a €4500 buyin created a 3 million prize pool.

That was the tail end of the Celtic Tiger but somehow Paddy managed to keep the show going  during austerity. Numbers dropped and economic realities forced the buyin down, but the Irish Open remained a prestigious international event. Last year, following hot on the heels of UKIPT Dublin which took a lot of money out of the Irish poker economy (money that would normally have gone into the Open), and competing with EPT San Remo, it still got over 400 runners, mostly Irish. That was a significant result in the most difficult circumstances, so credit to Stephen McLean, Clodagh Hansen and rest of PP team.

I've already made the point in previous blogs that the decision not to allow multiple seat winners a cash in option on surplus seats pulled a lot of players out of online satellites, as players like myself simply dropped out once we had one. This at least was an understandably popular policy with recreational players fed up of turning up to satellites and seeing the same 5 or 6 pros (like myself) grinding them. However, ultimately all it meant was players showing up for satellites that didn't get enough runners to even start, and even less recreational players got in through online satellites than in previous years. This reduced liquidity in satellites was compounded when Ipoker downgraded the Irish Open, allowing other skins to opt out of offering the satellites. It's difficult to believe that Paddy as one of the big Ipoker skins could not have brought sufficient pressure to bear to reverse the decision, but it appears they just lacked the will to push the case for the Irish Open.

When I wrote my last blog, I didn't realise that as shambolic as the online satellites were this year, the live satellites were arguably worse. I thought the low number of live satellite qualifiers this year was just down to less interest generally in the Open this year. Since that blog, a number of satellite organisers contacted me to explain why for the first time ever this year they didn't run any. It wasn't primarily due to lack of interest (although in contrast to other years, their players weren't clamouring for them this year) but rather to another cost cutting decision Paddy Power made this year: not to guarantee live sats. In previous years, Paddy have worked with local organisers to guarantee live satellites, taking the hit if there was an overlay. This year, while any organiser was welcome to run a satellite and put a guarantee on it, if there was an overlay, it was down to the organiser. In uncertain times such as these, it is no surprise most simply declined to run a satellite.

When I ran discos, concerts and other social events in college, one thing I quickly learned was the importance of early adopters. If you were trying to shift 1000 tickets, you wanted to have shifted 100 in the week before the event. If only 50 had gone out, you were in trouble. The reason for this is the people who bought tickets well in advance, who told all their friends they were going, drove the word of mouth buzz that got the event into the consciousness of other people, translating into last week and last minute sales. 50 less early adopters didn't just mean 50 less people at your event: it generally meant 500 less. It was worth spending extra money and offering discounts on early sales to get that first 100 in. I learned the hard way there was no way around this. Even with the more attractive events that were easiest to sell out, you couldn't just say "It will be more economic to sell all the tickets at full face in the last few days".

Similarly, with the Open live satellites have always been the key. You run a satellite well in advance in your local town, two people qualify, and now that's two people going around talking about how they are going to be playing the Irish Open, inspiring others to either satellite or buy in. The first year I played, I think there were at least 400 Irish satellite qualifiers, less than ten per cent of whom qualified online. The others came from local live satellites dotted around the length and breadth of the country.

I'm reliably informed the Paddy Power team were disappointed to hear the negative feedback from me and others, believing that they had done a good job with a smaller crew than ever before, so I would like to point my criticisms are not directed at anyone in the Paddy team personally. I know Conor for years in his previous role as a poker dealer and have always got on very well with him. He strikes me as a fine lad who is passionate about poker. I have a good relationship with and opinion of Paddy Power Poker historically, and don't doubt the slimmed down team did their best. The fact that it was a slimmed down team underlines the diminished place of poker in the Paddy Power grand scheme. This I suspect is the underlying problem rather than any individual shortcomings. The event itself was well run, and the Paddy team did their best to increase the craic levels in difficult circumstances (difficult because so few Irish recreational players who have historically been the basis of most of the craic turned up).

The livestream coverage was great, both from a technical standpoint and in terms of the commentary. This created a marked difference in perspective on the event between people who watched it at home, and those who actually attended. A few days after the Open, I played the Fitz Mid Monthly tournament. Card room manager Denise told me they screened the livestream on the TV screens there and the atmosphere was so electric she thought it must be amazing in the venue so went down to check it out. When she got there, it was like walking in on a funeral. So back she went to the Fitz.

Instead of being disappointed at the negative reaction, I'd prefer the organisers to be disappointed so few Irish players showed up. Even as someone who only plays live locally once or twice a month, it was clear to me from a long way out there was no buzz this year, yet somehow Paddy Power seemed to be either in denial or totally out of touch. The week of the event they were predicting that Irish numbers would not be down and overall player numbers would be up. In actual fact Irish numbers collapsed like never before, meaning that even though Paddy achieved their stated aim of attracting more foreign players than last year, overall numbers were down roughly 100. It's understandable that Paddy as an organisation doesn't want to dwell on this or acknowledge they placed too much focus on promoting it overseas. Money spent flying big foreign names over and paying for them to play in the belief that this would add prestige to the event would, in my opinion at least, have been better spent locally. So the message they wanted to push seemed to be "What about that slowroll?" rather than "What about all those no shows?"

Poker suffers greatly from the fact that it has no real impartial media. Largely ignored by the mainstream media, it has a trade press that is financed largely by advertising, and as such is beholden to the big sites. So called news coverage generally amounts to little more than regurgitated press releases, puff pieces for advertisers, and thinly disguised commercials. Similarly TV coverage is largely in the form of subsidised programs, meaning sites rarely have to deal with any sort of negative (or even impartial) coverage outside independent blogs, podcasts and forums.

The three incidents that became the main talking points from the weekend illustrated just how unIrish this Irish Open was. These were the sexual harassment of Kara Scott by the so called "Mad Turk", Dan Harrington's demise being rather crassly celebrated by the Wolf (the Swiss businessman who was behind EPT Snowfest), and that slowroll by a player on the final table who seemed more concerned with hogging the livestream for his folks back in Germany than the reaction of his fellow players or the live spectators.

The last few years have been tough for the Irish economy and the local live poker scene, and we have seen numerous large buyin events on our shores with little or no Irish involvement. These have their part in the overall scheme of things and at least meant Irish based pros sufficiently rolled for bigger events could play some events without having to catch a plane. I just never expected the Irish Open to be one of those events that would be deserted by Irish recreational players.

Afterwards in the bar, genuinely interested parties discussed what could be done to revive the event as if seems likely, this was the last ever Paddy Power Irish Open. Opinion seemed split as to whether to reduce the buyin to $1k and shoot for 1k+ runners, or to increase it to EPT Main event levels and try to rekindle it as a major international event top foreign players flock to without having to be paid to do so. I'm not even remotely qualified to judge which of these two approaches is most likely to be successful, but I will say that given the choice between
(1) a 1K event that pulls a predominantly Irish field of 1000 runners (similar to the Full Tilt UKIPT Galway event)
(2) a 5K EPT style event with 500 foreign ballers and a handful of Irish pros

I would choose option 1 every time. I'd love if we got (as is rumoured) an EPT Dublin next year: I just think the Irish Open should be kept separate as a uniquely Irish event. There is no shortage of top class local talent in Ireland when it comes to organising events. Stephen McLean has done an amazing job with the IPO and other major events. JP McCann hosts one of the biggest poker festivals in the world here every year. Fintan Gavin has organized dozens of massive events here down the years. Dave Curtis oversees the massively successful UKIPT. Clodagh Hansen did an amazing job on the Irish Open in previous years before leaving to head up the MPN Poker tour.  The hope is that fresh new online sponsors with the will to revive the Irish Open working in conjunction with local organisers who understand the grassroots can restore some lost lustre to Europe's oldest poker tournament.

In Nottingham this weekend where they were having their second thousand runner plus event in just over a month, rumours were flying that Rob Yong in conjunction with Party Poker are looking to try to do this. Rob has a better track record than any when it comes to running 1000 runner events, and while I would like to see the Irish Open become an Irish Open once again that pulls back in all the local recreational players, it doesn't really matter to me where the person who pulls that off comes from. The main imperative for whoever does take up the baton should be to get the Irish recreational players back on board. This year Paddy Power seemed to think that the way to restore prestige to the Irish Open was just to get some big foreign names over.

In my view, this was back to front thinking. At its best, the Irish Open wasn't special because a few big names were paid to fly in for the weekend. It was special because it was a uniquely Irish celebration of poker embraced by every poker player in Ireland, and it was this that made foreign players want to come and be part of it without being paid to do so. Paddy Power seemed to lose sight of that this year: hopefully whoever is in charge next year won't make the same mistake.


Wednesday, April 8, 2015

The Last Supper

As she drove me back to whatever the Burlington is called these days, I told Mrs Doke that today would either be the second worst day of my year (if I bust), or one of the best (if I made it to the end having finally cashed an Irish Open). Both parts of that statement reflect the special place the Irish Open has always occupied in the hearts of Irish poker players. EPTs and UKIPTs and high rollers are all well and good, but deep down in the gut, the Irish Open is the one we'd all love to actually win, second only to the WSOP main event.

As it was, I was wrong. After a promising start to day 2, my tournament returned to the now familiar script, the one where I just stop winning pots until all my chips are gone. But as I walked round the block to shake it off, I was surprised by how little there was to shake off. It hurt a little, but nowhere near as much as I imagined. Nowhere near as much as every other one of my Irish Open exits.

Maybe I'm just getting more jaded with age to the point where I recognize that getting too emotionally invested in any one tournament is a mug's game. Or maybe it's because, deep down in my subconscious, I recognise that the Irish Open just isn't what it used to be. Why is that? Well, let's rewind a little...

The first Irish Open I played was the 2008 version in City West. That year, sponsors Paddy Power guaranteed a prize pool of €3 million, making it (I believe) the biggest tournament in Europe that year. I'd never been in City West before, so I asked my wife to drop me at the gate, not realising it was a bit of a hoof from there to the actual hotel. As I walked up the long drive, I passed a gentleman in golf attire. He appeared bewildered by the number of cars speeding up the driveway, clearly greatly over par for what you would expect on a normal Thursday, so he asked me what this Irish Open was all about. I told him it was the biggest poker tournament in Europe.

"Poker, you say? The card game?"
"Yes"
"Never played it. Is it like whist?"
"A little I guess"
"How do people qualify for this Open?"
"Some qualify through satellites, but most just buy in, all you need is €4500"
"So anyone can play?"
"Anyone with four and a half grand"

That ended the conversation and I walked on at my own faster pace to join the registration queue. The next time I saw my new walking buddy, I had just left the front of the queue having registered, and he was joining the back of it, cheque book in hand, wondering if they took cheques. Back in 2008, anyone could play. The Celtic Tiger was on its last legs, but almost nobody knew that yet. We just thought the good times that had started over a decade earlier would last forever, and the prosperity we were enjoying to the point that spending €4500 on a game you didn't even know the rules of didn't seem particularly extravagant.

In the 7 years that have passed since that Irish Open where I was second person out (my golf trousered buddy outlasted me, maybe helped by having to have the rules explained to him every hand) and my poker hero (at the time) and (more recently) friend Neil Channing the last one still standing, the event has changed buyin levels and location, and struggled in the face of a crumbling Irish economy. The economy may have crumbled, and we would never again see a £3 million prize pool, but somehow against all the odds Paddy Power preserved the Open as one of the biggest events in Europe. As other Irish tournaments withered or even died, Paddy managed to keep numbers up somehow. Two years into the recession and after a venue change, over 700 people crammed into the Burlo to play the 2010 Open, which came down to a headsup battle between James Mitchell and currently reborn Paul Carr. The prize pool was €2,265,000.

The following year, with the recession at its worst, Paddy somehow got over 600 souls into the Burlo, and for once the Irishman (Niall Smyth) beat the Englishman (Surindar Sunar) headsup, and I was a little richer at the end of the tournament (thanks entirely to my share in final tableist Rob Taylor). This will always be the Open I have the fondest memories of (at least until I win one myself). Not just because the Irish guy won, or because I made a bit of money that weekend, but because I made my livestream commentary debut alongside Emmet Kennedy, Neil Channing and Rebecca McAdam, and commentated on most of the final table and all the marathon headsup battle.

Over the next few years, a new pattern emerged: I bust early, and spent the rest of the weekend doing commentary. In 2012, the prize pool dipped below €2 million for the first time, and Paddy bowed to economic realities by reducing the buyin to €2250. The Englishman (Ian Simpson) beat the Irishman (Mike Farrelly) again this year, and while the reduced buyin did entice a few more runners into the field, the prize pool barely blipped into 7 figures, and Simpson got less for his win than the third place finisher did back in 2008. Last year, Paddy faced an even tougher battle as Stars moved San Remo into a direct clash, making it almost impossible to lure top foreign players back.

Disaster was widely predicted, and some pundits predicted the event might shrink back into the 200 and something runner territory. The sponsors showed great imagination as they pushed every angle to satellite people in, and in a PR man's wet dream, a good looking well spoken and immensely likeable young lad from Ardee with the gloriously Irish name of Paddy Clarke entered a $4 Cheap Seats satellite on Paddy and ended up walking away with the title. This year the question was not would the Irishman or the Englishman win headsup, but which of the 8 Irishmen on the final table would. Numbers may have dipped below 500 for the first time, but it was the most Irish Irish Open I was ever at. There were grounds for optimism that this renewed local enthusiasm in conjunction with a recovering Irish economy could see the Open grow back to former glories. Paddy scrapped the Winter festival, all the better to give themselves a full year to satellite people into the Open. Satellites for this year started before last year was even finished. The consensus was that increasing the buyin back to €3500 and not clashing with anything else major would bring the foreign visitors back. It was widely expected the runners would hit the 500 mark again (in his last blog before this year's Open, John O'Shea who is normally a great judge of these things suggested 500 as the expected number), and maybe even 600.

But it seems like the sponsors dropped the ball in the runup to the Open and either got complacent, or simply failed to recognize the many negative signs. They discouraged players like myself from playing satellites after we'd won a ticket, apparently in the belief this would result in more unique qualifiers. It didn't. All that happened is less satellites ran (many at hefty overlays), less seats were generated, and even less people qualified. Live satellites fell by the wayside too. Normally in the early months of any year, casinos all over the country are buzzing with people trying to satellite their way into the Open. This just didn't happen this year. In the week of the Open, Paddy representatives were saying numbers would be up on last year, with more foreigners and as many Irish as ever. In actual fact, despite Paddy throwing some foreign dignitaries into the event to give it some cachet and a late promotional boost, numbers dipped to barely over 300.

It's easy to go on blaming the economy, but the economy is growing again. So is the poker economy. In 2012, with the recession at its deepest, only 85 runners made their way to Citywest for the JP Masters. The general consensus was "too near the Irish Open, can't compete as a result". That year, JP Masters got 85 runners, the Open got over 500. This year, JP had his Masters even closer to the Open and got almost 400 runners, while the Open got less barely crawling over the 300 mark. Take out the people Paddy stuck in to boost numbers and we could very well have been in the 200 and something zone gloomily predicted (but never actual materialised) in former years.

This felt like the least Irish Irish Open ever. Less than half of the people I played with were Irish, and when I asked players who would normally play this every year if they were playing this year, most shrugged their shoulders and said not unless they qualified. Gary Clarke surprised me even more when he said he wasn't even trying to qualify. When you lose someone like Gary, a staunch supporter not only of Irish events but events all over Europe, you have to start asking yourself where it all went wrong. When recreational players stop trying to even satellite in, you have to ask yourself why (for what its worth, most I asked gave one of two reasons: no buzz about the event this year, and too many crashes disconnections and other bad experiences with the Paddy Power software). It just seemed that Paddy (who it was rumoured had decided from a long way out that this year would be the last ever Paddy Power Irish Open) either gave up the ghost trying to promote the event properly, or lacked the imagination and competence of previous years in so doing. There are mutterings that Paddy has simply given up on poker, seeing it as something they can't make a lot of money from, so they don't want to make any effort developing or promoting it beyond simply having it as something sports bettors or casino players can try if they want to experience arguably the worst poker software in the world.

The day before the event, I had arranged to meet Neil Channing in a French restaurant. The best thing about the Irish Open has always been the chance to meet friends you only see once a year, or people you only ever talk to online. Our dinner escalated quickly and by the end there were 9 heads crammed into what looked like a tent in Chez Max. Everyone seemed to know already this was the last ever Paddy Power Irish Open, so it felt a bit like a wake for a once great event.

Other highlights of the weekend included tuning into the excellent live stream (with top notch commentary from Emmet, Lappin, Kowby and other guests), chopping the mini Open for almost ten grand having navigated a sub four big blind stack for several hours around the bubble, railing Kev Killeen to another amazing result, and meeting other visiting friends (Christin Maschmann is a courageous lady who not only risks her limbs in goal for a mixed handball team but also braved being the first person to share a drink with me after my bustout, I went for coffee with my regular satellite sparring partner Sameer, and for dinner tonight with my two favourite dealers Dani and Tonino, and Sue had me worried for a minute and laughing for longer at her "We can see you, you can't see us" stalker tweets). After the Open was done and dusted, we hauled our tired selves to the Farm, joined by the livestream crew and a teetotal Paddy Power representative. When he slipped out early (paying his own portion of the bill), it felt oddly symbolic, given that Paddy seem to be quietly slipping out of the building of Irish poker.

Afterwards in the bar, the talk was of what the Open once was, and how best to revive it. It would be truly sad for Irish (and indeed European) poker if Europe's oldest tournament were to wither further or die completely. The hope is that someone with a bit more imagination and drive than Paddy have shown in recent months will step in next year to start the revival. The fear is that this may indeed have been the funeral.



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